The price of IBIT options has been trading quietly after bitcoin's recovery.
#Eight hundred and eighty thousand#The twist#Bitcoin and ETF#The IBIT#The options market
What's going on?
Options on the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) of BlackRock are priced at a volatility that is lower than actual volatility experienced during the most recent recovery in Bitcoin , according to Saxo Bank.
Many investors may wonder what these numbers mean and why they are important to Bitcoin holders across the board, including Thai investors who follow the trend.ETF
What's the difference between implied volatility and realized volatility?
Implied volatility It's the expectation of future price fluctuations that are reflected in option prices. Simply put, it is "how strong does the market think the price will be going to go".
Realized Volatility It's a measure of the past momentum in prices.
When the implied lower realized means that the options market is expecting a future situation to be quieter than the one just passed.
What do the numbers say?
Koen Hoorelbeke, investment and options strategist at Saxo Bank wrote in an analysis on Thursday:
- The implied volatility of IBIT is at He is a member of the Democratic Party.37.4% Compared to realized volatility. He is a member of the Democratic Party.45.5% In 20 business days to Tuesday.
- Based on Wednesday's data, the implied volatility ranking is at... . He is a member of the Democratic Party.11.9 That's down from the previous 12 months.
"In our view the options market appears to be pricing calmer conditions than the recent past produced".
It's a price to pay.
Hoorelbeke's got the Bitcoin resistance line in place. $87,000 That's where the recovery stalled on September 21st. $76,000 $77,000
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is for sale. $84,751 Up 1.6% in 24 hours according to CoinGecko data
What does that mean for marketers?
This signal says institutional investors trading IBIT options are betting on low volatility, which may reflect the view that the market is entering a period of dormancy for observers.ETF In Thailand it should also keep an eye on cash inflows as recent reports indicate Bitcoin cash inflows.37.4% The remaining shortfall $191 million after setting six consecutive day inflow records $2.8 billion
However, a low implied volatility rank is no guarantee that the market will be truly calm; it's just a reflection of current expectations.
It's a warning.
This article is a compilation and synthesis of information from various sources for informational purposes only. It is not an investment recommendation or offering to sell any asset. Digital assets are highly volatile; prices can rise or fall significantly in a short period of time, and past analysis cannot guarantee future outcomes. Readers should carefully study the data, consider their own acceptable risks, and make rational decisions.
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